WBZ's New England Business

Automakers having trouble going small

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Play from 0:00[0:00] ..." This is Anthony silver in the WBZ newsroom. With soaring gas prices major carmakers simply can't keep up with the explosive demand for smaller higher mileage models. I spoke with a senior automotive analyst"...

Play from 0:37[0:37] ..." and June consumers finally saw the reality of four dollar a gallon gas prices. That was the tipping point that caused consumer behaviors change. I've been involved in the auto industry for over thirty years and"...

Play from 1:34[1:34] ..." General Motors yesterday announced even -- their sales were down 18%. They admitted that they could've sold 40000 more smaller cars but they just"...

Play from 1:57[1:57] ..." it take for not just the domestics but the foreign carmakers -- Toyota number one here. To bring in to market the cars that people want right now."...

Play from 2:11[2:11] ..." so it's it's not an easy answer in some cases let's take Honda is an example -- very flexible. They can do it and a couple of bumps some of the older domestic plants which"...

Play from 2:54[2:54] ..." the domestic carmakers why were they so guilty in this timing. Seen gas prices going up so rapidly and the market changing before."...

Play from 3:24[3:24] ..." You know a lot of people's it -- to look at Toyota Toyota's profitable Toyota seems to see things maybe that Colorado companies don't see that there really at the top of the industry right now you know for the model year 8. Toyota introduced on all new bigger than ever full size pickup. To all new full size SUVs -- an all new plant in Texas to build that new full size pickup. They didn't see it anymore clearly than General Motors that. GM has the same kind of small cars for example that that Toyota does. The problem is the American consumer went thinking small economical car. Generally doesn't think GM Ford or Chrysler they tend to think the Asian brands and most particularly they tend to think Honda and Toyota. That's something that that hopefully can be overcome because our car for car basis of size for size basis. That GM and"...

Play from 4:30[4:30] ..." The only carmaker that -- and increased last month was Honda one point 1%. Was that just lucky timing."...

Play from 4:36[4:36] ..." Now Honda does have a smaller mix of vehicles than most of the major manufacturers. So Honda was was well positioned and and also. It is in the mindset of the consumer as we just said he thinks small economical you'd think Honda and they had. A reasonable supply of civics and accords on hand that they were able to really. Cash in on this"...

Play from 0:00[0:00]" This is Anthony silver in the WBZ newsroom. With soaring gas prices major carmakers simply can't keep up with the explosive demand for smaller higher mileage models. I spoke with a senior automotive analyst -- global insight in Lexington. John -- Con-way it's I asked him about car dealers. That simply don't have enough Compaq's available right now and why."

Play from 0:23[0:23]" this shortage of the cars that people actually do want to buy and most particularly compact and sub compacts sedans. What happened where in the midst of of an unprecedented shift in consumer demand. In May and June consumers finally saw the reality of four dollar a gallon gas prices. That was the tipping point that caused consumer behaviors change. I've been involved in the auto industry for over thirty years and I can tell you I've never seen. A rapid and total consumer shift in demand like this one this is truly unprecedented. So what happened to be in May which was the first month when went consumers really made the shift to small vehicles. They bought out everything on hand so that was a normal day's supply at the beginning of may. Plus that was production in May. All of that got sold in May most of the key manufactures entered June with. Alarmingly low stockpiles of compact and sub compact cars and that actually hurt the sales of those vehicles in jail there were lots of people out there who wanted to buy them. But the current simply weren't available."

Play from 1:34[1:34]" General Motors yesterday announced even -- their sales were down 18%. They admitted that they could've sold 40000 more smaller cars but they just don't have the."

Play from 1:44[1:44]" Absolutely and it takes awhile to shift over this isn't going to happen overnight they can add a shift. Not that can be done but that doesn't add as many cars as they need."

Play from 1:56[1:56]" Tell me about that how long will it take for not just the domestics but the foreign carmakers -- Toyota number one here. To bring in to market the cars that people want right now."

Play from 2:07[2:07]" It depends on how flexible the plant is that's being converted so it's it's not an easy answer in some cases let's take Honda is an example -- very flexible. They can do it and a couple of bumps some of the older domestic plants which are not very flexible it could take a year and a half."

Play from 2:28[2:28]" A year and a half this that could be. As you know knocking on bankruptcies --"

Play from 2:33[2:33]" Yeah absolutely now that's not the case for all the domestic plants not the case at all and the other thing I'd like to point out particularly regarding the domestics they have some exciting news small cars on the Broncos as well."

Play from 2:45[2:45]" John let's drop -- you know we're talking about these vehicles coming to market in the next eighteen months to years or more why. Was the -- the domestic carmakers why were they so guilty in this timing. Seen gas prices going up so rapidly and the market changing before."

Play from 3:04[3:04]" Well unfortunately this is an industry that's still takes five years to go from concept to customer. So if you dial the clock back five years. We were selling all the full size SUVs and pickups that any company could make. Nobody saw this rapid shift in consumer demand coming. You know a lot of people's it -- to look at Toyota Toyota's profitable Toyota seems to see things maybe that Colorado companies don't see that there really at the top of the industry right now you know for the model year 8. Toyota introduced on all new bigger than ever full size pickup. To all new full size SUVs -- an all new plant in Texas to build that new full size pickup. They didn't see it anymore clearly than General Motors that. GM has the same kind of small cars for example that that Toyota does. The problem is the American consumer went thinking small economical car. Generally doesn't think GM Ford or Chrysler they tend to think the Asian brands and most particularly they tend to think Honda and Toyota. That's something that that hopefully can be overcome because our car for car basis of size for size basis. That GM and Ford products match the fuel economy of the imports that this is something that the consumers not aware of and in some cases really they don't want to believe."

Play from 4:30[4:30]" The only carmaker that -- and increased last month was Honda one point 1%. Was that just lucky timing."

Play from 4:36[4:36]" Now Honda does have a smaller mix of vehicles than most of the major manufacturers. So Honda was was well positioned and and also. It is in the mindset of the consumer as we just said he thinks small economical you'd think Honda and they had. A reasonable supply of civics and accords on hand that they were able to really. Cash in on this I mean they only went up one point 1% but it was awfully nice to see somebody -- an increase."

Play from 5:06[5:06]" Do you see any of the three major car companies especially Chrysler. In financial difficulty before they can shift gears here."

Play from 5:15[5:15]" Boy that's the 64000 dollar question I'm afraid is it all depends on how high fuel prices go and on on on. How consumers react and how quickly the economy springs back. You know right now based on the forecast that are out there. They're all telling us that they have enough liquidity that it to make it through 2010 as the magic year that they have to make it through to. Because in 2002 and the the new contracts with the UAW take effect where they take the retirement liabilities off their books. Also it's the year. When most economists are forecasting the economy did start to improve and as we said earlier it's the year when many of these exciting news small vehicles are going to be introduced. So they need to -- the gap between now and 2010. If if things stay as they are now or get better. They can probably make it. If things get worse it's anybody's guess this is these -- very scary times in the domestic auto industry."

Play from 6:26[6:26]" John it's a real pleasure speaking with you think is so much I really enjoyed it thank you"

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