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[0:23] ..." Well we're -- Barack Obama with and nine point lead over John McCain among likely voters 51% to 42%. That the slight tightening of the race than what we saw a couple of days ago"...
[1:11] ..." For those that are rooting for John McCain probably want to look at the other direction Sarah. Now in terms of the undecided they are obviously going to play a"...
[2:03] ..." in the south and in 2000 -- They voted for bush over John Kerry kept it might be that if -- affected and committed to trying to develop they could support John McCain. "...
[2:13] ..." well let's go back to 2004 and 2000 and look where George Bush was in the polls was any at least against John Kerry he on the day before he was not doing well was it."...
[2:24] ..." just the for the 2004 election had him up one point Alpert John Kerry. The actual result of that election the popular vote plus 151%. To 48% for John Kerry. OK you know though blessed with a very small lead he did and that we the popular vote by three point. Now back in -- now that we put out a poll on Election Day. That showed Alcoa are up one percentage point over of with George Bush and very very tight race that in fact. That's about what Al Gore won the popular vote by now I'm. That that wasn't too far out of court didn't mean he won the election but"...
[3:04] ..." Okay you say on Election Day do you have any new poll results as of today's Sarah."...
[3:35] ..." they are going to come from uncommitted. It is voters but frankly John McCain has the real uphill battle in part because our. President Bush. It got approval rating at only 20%. That's that historically low Gallup first begin mentoring president's approval rating back in 1938. I'm no president has ever received his job approval rating this flower can't tell you it didn't matter for John McCain because 54% of voters. Think that if he was elected John McCain would continue Bush's policies that could be that his association. With the president I had pregnant have been in the election."...
[0:00]" Okay we're speaking with Sarah doesn't deputy director of surveys essentially she oversees all the polls for CBS news thanks for being here on WBZ we appreciated Sarah my class. OK so here we go it is Election Day. And UN up right to the the finish line almost with some polls on the eve of this 2008 presidential election. And essentially what is the headline here."
[0:23]" Well we're -- Barack Obama with and nine point lead over John McCain among likely voters 51% to 42%. That the slight tightening of the race than what we saw a couple of days ago we had a thirteen point lead and but it's well outside the margin of Barack and -- consent that would let all the polls showing. Gallup shows Obama with an eleven point lead. And Beatty with an eight point lead on all of Canadian media polling organizations are shown Obama with -- that outside their -- smart's parents -- That is well."
[0:56]" Well we can always assumed there is what three to 4%. In terms of the margin of error so we're talking about a possible five point advantage."
[1:04]" That's possible -- could even be larger because the -- in America either way delegates could could even be larger than nine point."
[1:11]" For those that are rooting for John McCain probably want to look at the other direction Sarah. Now in terms of the undecided they are obviously going to play a critical role in this race where they stand as of last night."
[1:23]" Well we had 9% of likely voters could that they were uncommitted. That means they were on either they were undecided about which candidate to vote for or they had elected a candidate but -- that there mind it's still -- That's about what we thought that the for the 2004 election but it's far fewer than we thought of for the 2000 election. I just stayed before that election 16% were uncommitted said it. Less fluidity in this race than what we've gone -- Avant. About the -- is 2004. -- uncommitted voters are not real partisan. More than -- intended them province -- Independent. They tend to be moderate their older they tend to live in the south and in 2000 -- They voted for bush over John Kerry kept it might be that if -- affected and committed to trying to develop they could support John McCain. "
[2:13]" well let's go back to 2004 and 2000 and look where George Bush was in the polls was any at least against John Kerry he on the day before he was not doing well was it."
[2:24]" I just the for the 2004 election had him up one point Alpert John Kerry. The actual result of that election the popular vote plus 151%. To 48% for John Kerry. OK you know though blessed with a very small lead he did and that we the popular vote by three point. Now back in -- now that we put out a poll on Election Day. That showed Alcoa are up one percentage point over of with George Bush and very very tight race that in fact. That's about what Al Gore won the popular vote by now I'm. That that wasn't too far out of court didn't mean he won the election but he did win the popular vote by about one point but it -- at an election."
[3:04]" Okay you say on Election Day do you have any new poll results as of today's Sarah."
[3:09]" Well we can't. You know we've seen -- real stability. In -- only got an appalling results of other organization. And you know there there wasn't a lot of reason to think that the rate which means. A --"
[3:25]" Okay and if McCain is going to come from behind -- where is he going to find those votes. The uncommitted voters be the male voters who are undecided where were those was going to --"
[3:35]" I think they are going to come from uncommitted. It is voters but frankly John McCain has the real uphill battle in part because our. President Bush. It got approval rating at only 20%. That's that historically low Gallup first begin mentoring president's approval rating back in 1938. I'm no president has ever received his job approval rating this flower can't tell you it didn't matter for John McCain because 54% of voters. Think that if he was elected John McCain would continue Bush's policies that could be that his association. With the president I had pregnant have been in the election."
[4:11]" Should the Obama camp be getting the champagne on ice or is it too premature in your opinion."
[4:16]" You know we've been talking about national polls and of course presidential races are not decided on a national level they're decided on state level. With electoral vote making the difference and then deciding who is elected president. Those are -- apartment telephone lot of -- and that the electorate. Trend in the electorate the issue that they think are important how they feel the candidates. Would deal with these problems that the country they think. But they can't tell us what's going to happen on a state by state level for that we need to wait -- vote come in and look at what happens in the Electoral College."
[4:49]" Sarah -- thank you so much for your time my pleasure."
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