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Dave Caruso's Before the Bell

Before the Bell 5/22/2008

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Play from 1:38[1:38] ..." mean that it's going to happen tomorrow you know even. Agreed that Greenspan was talking about irrational exuberance. The markets at 12000 and it was 6000 when he was talking about it so the trend"...

Play from 0:00[0:00]" per hour before the bell stock report and WBZ financial editor -- Caruso was in this morning -- the morning -- a while markets certainly took a hit I guess it's all about oil."

Play from 0:09[0:09]" Yeah it is in the and that's what's happened the world we're -- a lot of things the first basic Tenet is that the we call correlation -- efficient. And what it means to big purpose that it sometimes if things go up other things go down. And when you're looking at right now is an inverse correlation between gold goes up I couldn't when oil goes up. It helps almost nothing else and then we're seeing that just last week and we also saw at this week's volatility get it over to where oil is right now it's a it's a -- about 133 a barrel at this point in moving very quickly -- overnight it actually got 235 dollars and this morning in The Wall Street Journal we didn't get much help with that article from the International Energy Agency report saying that there are more -- long term. So it's built on hard to believe it's -- like -- good hitting a thousand dollars announces well. But there's two forces to look at you get the fundamental -- the speculative but fundamentalist just supply and demand and what we hear from you know most of the -- but it should be based on fundamentals 6080 dollars a barrel which -- still -- but -- semi reasonable. Year to date -- up 39%. So we know for certain is demand hasn't increased by 39%. Supply hasn't fallen by 39% so what's the rest of the stuff like. Well it's all about the long term unknown and it certainly that speculation in the traders and hedge funds in those. It's almost impossible to protect what that impact is but the reality is is that having a major impact in when you look at all these commodities. They all have gravity eventually what goes up will eventually come down but it doesn't mean that it's going to happen tomorrow you know even. Agreed that Greenspan was talking about irrational exuberance. The markets at 12000 and it was 6000 when he was talking about it so the trend is your friend that's what these speculators do they make money at some point comets gonna turn around but it may not be tomorrow so it's going to feel strongly about is that you know when you're looking at stock they're going to go down -- gonna get hit new evidence is that is is in the airlines stocks so. With all this being said it's going to be really hard for the market to go up after what's happening with oil and you've got let's excuse me all the -- being groped for the second day in Washington so we'll see anything about a particular market. -- down point three that was up eleven nasdaq's up one and not gold stock around five bucks."

Play from 2:18[2:18]" A thirty seconds here David how does that all affect inflation."

Play from 2:21[2:21]" Well you know every recession has often inflation can -- that we certainly seeing that we put gas prices in the bill big bill works out there when you look at all of inflation. When it really comes down to about half of inflation is in wages have another quarter that is in the housing which is certainly not going up and wages have been think so it's basically the point 5% and oil and gas and food and computer -- It is certainly going to be a factor the Fed reported yesterday so we're going to keep an -- out and everybody's looking at upper right now we just don't know what to do it really is acquire more. Thank you David --"

Other Episodes in this series

Before the Bell 1/28/2008

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28 Jan 2009

Before the Bell 1/28/2008 

An early look at the market with Financial Editor Dave Caruso.

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[0:53]..." losses -- if you look at this earnings season you know even Wells Fargo was up this morning with the big one so they -- getting those losses I think you'd think he'd get those assets. Also their books and they go back the plan if you would of what the purpose was to be about but to be pretty good so. That we got a great -- second they have a job basically or maybe third the third day on the job. As so he's going to be at all political over the -- what we've got and I think the majority of financial stocks are really like infect most of the financials are very big this -- so. These are start it and he teaches at nineteen point eight. Does the 159. We that the NASDAQ up to 48 oil prices down around twenty cents a forty want to change in gold down to fifteen years and eight and seven. "...

[0:21]..." good start. To be the fourth day in -- world that we CBS and the -- advocates expect the -- Summers have been the scene looked something like that. I have -- against the there "...

[1:33]..." it's not been pretty so far but they they continue to come AT&T was up this morning and they were down 23% on the auditing company. But the good news is is that they had "...

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2:47more in this series...

Before the Bell 1/27/2008

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27 Jan 2009

Before the Bell 1/27/2008 

An early look at the market with Financial Editor Dave Caruso.

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[0:21]..." about the clutter so this morning we got the three popular names American Express DuPont to Texas Instruments. Not helping yourself all locked the American Express was 79% drop. For the fourth quarters but it took a lot of write downs and there about a -- behind expectations that a lot but again the financial -- some tough times. DuPont they have losses while they cut their outlook. The loss looks to be about seventy cents a share in the street was only expecting about twenty cents -- so. They also came out and cut the forecast and I agree when their Texas Instruments speaks semiconductor company that reported 86% drop in the profits so. They too were cutting about 3400 jobs and they warned -- "...

[1:21]..." we've been here it was something were to go to their. A Bristol-Myers also in the drug group most profitable point two billion dollars and are you that but this department of I think a "...

[1:47]..." David to the housing market a nice surprise on some housing numbers yesterday but today a different report. "...

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2:54more in this series...

Before the Bell 1/26/2008

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26 Jan 2009

Before the Bell 1/26/2008 

An early look at the market with Financial Editor Dave Caruso.

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[1:33]..." the 38 years. And don't even mention about a 137. Of the S&P 500 are coming out of their earnings so we got -- spectacular surprise about it at least a little bit of lift this morning know what we get disappear tent. A 1048 -- has -- nine point eight oil prices are down about 75 cents at 45 and change. And we also got that the -- booked August 11 has such six "...

[0:46]..." not so bright new year to date it has -- 8% the S&P down almost 8%. That's the extent six point 3% small cap Russell 2011%. Of we're so all those of you looked overseas "...

[2:54]..." Camera looking at a big deal on Wall Street. "...

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3:34more in this series...

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